This week, USD/CAD is unstoppable and the direction that it’s moving is only up. It managed to get above the high of around 1.26850 of the previous two weeks, and at the time of this analysis the pair is trading slightly above the 1.27 mark.
The overall trend is still to the upside. This has been running from September 2012 and has not been broken yet. As for today, we can see that USD/CAD keeps holding on this small upwards moving trendline support, that started last Friday. It has not been broken yet and it kept pushing the price higher throughout the week. A move above the 1.27250 could push the pair up to yesterday’s high of around 1.27550, that could act as the first resistance level . A move further above that opens the way towards the 1.28 area.
If the above mentioned short-term trendline will not hold and the price will break it, then we could see a move back to the 1.26850 area. Below that we have the 21 EMA , which is around the 1.26650 level. A break below that area could push USD/CAD towards the 50 EMA , which is around the 1.26200 mark.
EUR/USD has been on a downslope this week, managing only to recover some of its losses on Thursday. Today we are seeing some negative activity in the pair’s price, where it made a significant move down from its yesterday’s highs of around 1.23520.
The Euro is currently trading against the US Dollar below the upwards moving trendline , that started around mid-December last year. Even though yesterday it had a push back slightly above it, still this momentum was short-lived and the pair sold off again. If EUR/USD starts getting below 1.22850 level, then we must carefully monitor the probability for the pair to hit 1.22600. If this area won’t hold, then a push to the 1.22300 or even 1.22 could be next.
If we suddenly get a move back up above the previously mentioned short-term upwards moving trendline , then the next level to watch would be 1.23500. If broken, EUR/USD could make a move to 1.23900 or even to 1.24250.
ADA price is struggling to recover and it recently declined below the $0.3200 level against the US Dollar (tethered).
There is a major declining channel forming with resistance at $0.3205 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data feed via Bittrex).
The pair is currently correcting higher, but it may face a lot of resistance near $0.3250 and $0.3500 in the near term.
Cardano price declined further against the US Dollar and Bitcoin. ADA/USD is currently trading well below the $0.3500 level and in a bearish zone.
Cardano Price Decline
There was no major recovery in ADA price above the $0.3600 level against the US Dollar. The price did not move above the $0.4000 resistance and declined once again. During the recent slide, it broke the $0.3500 and $0.3300 support levels. It even traded below $0.3200 to test the $0.3000 area. A low was formed at $0.2995, and the price is currently consolidating losses around the $0.3000 level.
It is testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $0.3866 high to $0.2995 low. It seems like the price may find it hard to break the $0.3200 and $0.3300 resistance levels in the short term. There is also a major declining channel forming with resistance at $0.3205 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair. The channel resistance at $0.3205 is near the 23.6% Fib level. If there is a break above $0.3205, the price may correct further higher. The next major resistance is near $0.3430 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $0.3866 high to $0.2995 low.
On the downside, the $0.3000 level is a major support. If the price fails to stay above $0.3000, it could even trade back towards the $0.2500 level in the near term.
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is slowly recovering and is showing positive signs.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ADA/USD is moving higher towards the 45-50 levels.
Ripple price could not hold the $0.9000 support and moved below the $0.8400 level against the US dollar.
There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.8700 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from SimpleFx).
The pair is trading around the $0.8400 level and is currently trading with a bearish bias.
Ripple price failed to move higher and declined against the US Dollar and Bitcoin. XRP/USD may correct a few points higher, but it could face resistance near $0.9000.
Ripple Price Upside Hurdle
There was an extension to yesterday’s decline in Ripple price from the $0.8800 swing high against the US Dollar. The price failed to hold the $0.9000 and $0.8400 support levels and declined further. An intraday low was formed at $0.8015 before price started a minor upside correction. It is currently trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $0.9483 high to $0.8015 low.
However, there are many hurdles on the upside below the $0.9000 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.8700 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. At the moment, the price is testing the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $0.9483 high to $0.8015 low. There is a chance of it moving further higher towards the $0.8700 or $0.8800 levels, but an upside break won’t be easy. Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $0.9483 high to $0.8015 low is at $0.8749 to act as a resistance.
On the downside, the $0.8100 and $0.8000 levels are decent supports. As long as the price is above the $0.8000 handle, it could make an attempt to recover above $0.9000.
Looking at the technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is slowly reducing its bearish slope.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is currently moving higher towards the 50 level.